This is archival material written shortly after my experience from escaping from the terrorist attack at the World Trade Center.

March 17, 2003
The Post Attack Environment The equity market has reacted strongly to the upside in apparent reaction to the ‘end of uncertainty’ that followed from the Azores declaration. The clock is now ticking to the first gunshot, but when the bell rings, and the fighting commences, more uncertainties will appear. A small respite has created a big rally, but the geopolitical clouds will still be there, even if in a different form. more…

March 13, 2003
Facts on the Ground The acceleration of U.S. forces into the Middle East set off its own dynamic for both the Administration and its opposition. Is a war the only option, or does the existence of substantial forces in the region give Real Containment another chance? more…

March 10, 2003
The Real Threat: power for the powerless What drives the Bush Administration to force the War on Iraq, while its erstwhile allies appear to frustrate the control of admitted rogue in world politics. Nuclear proliferation threatens to empower the powerless, a problem that can only worsen over time. more…

July 06, 2002
The Irrelevance of Macro The continuing divergence (“disconnect”) between the evidence of economic recovery and the persistence of a huge decline in equity values led us to write a speculative piece. While we explore the underlying themes of the disconnect designed for day trading, it seemed that some interesting day-trading themes could emerge prior to and following the July 4th holiday. more…

November 14, 2001
Six weeks after the U.S. began its mission in Afghanistan, the anti-Terrorist alliance has caused the Taliband to lose effective political control over much of the country. The success so far rests on an unprecedented cooperation of the United States and Russia. In turn, continued cooperation of the two former antagonists hints at transforming both geopolitics and the world’s oil economy. At a time of increasing gloom over prospects for the global economy, world equity markets were pleased. more…